Inglis Premier 2026: The Numbers Behind the Sale — A G1 Goldmine Post-Sale Analysis

INGLIS PREMIER YEARLING SALE 2026 | G1 GOLDMINE ANALYTICS REPORT | FULL SALE WRAP — ALL THREE DAYS

The 2026 Inglis Premier Yearling Sale has concluded, and with the dust settled across three days at Riverside Stables, the final numbers tell an interesting story. A clearance rate of 80.3% across 726 offered lots was a strong result, with 583 lots sold for a total aggregate of $68,601,000. The average price of $117,669 and a median of $90,000 reflect a market that rewarded genuine quality at the top end while remaining selective through the middle of the catalogue.

Here's what the G1 Goldmine data showed — across nicks, crosses, sire strike rates, and dosage profiles — for the lots that stood out most across all three days.

Full Sale Summary

The Top Lot in Numbers — Lot 238: Zoustar x Nudge (Fastnet Rock) — $850,000

The sale's headline result across all three days remained Lot 238 — a Zoustar filly out of Nudge (Fastnet Rock) from Two Bays Farm, sold on Day 1 for $850,000. Our composite model had her ranked #1 out of all 806 catalogued lots, and the market agreed emphatically.

Sire — Zoustar:

• Stakes Winner / Runner Rate: 6.33%
• Winners / Runners Rate: 67.07%
• Average winning distance across progeny: 1,357m — a sire whose offspring race best at sprint-to-mile distances

Dam Sire — Fastnet Rock:

• Stakes Winner / Runner Rate: 6.03%
• Winners / Runners Rate: 62.94%

The Nick — Zoustar x Fastnet Rock line:

• Nick Stakes Winner Rate: 12.70% — double the individual sire rate
• Nick Winners / Runners Rate: 80.95%

Dosage: Balanced Speed/Classic — Speed 46.67%, Classic 50.00%, Stamina 3.33%. DI of 2.53, speed lean to a mile. A filly bred to be sharp, precocious and correct.

Stallion Match: 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 89.9 | Zero red indicators

The nick is doing real work here. When a cross produces a SW rate of 12.70% against a sire baseline of 6.33%, the combination is meaningfully outperforming expectations. This filly was the logical topper — the analytics flagged her before a single bid was taken.

Day 2 Top Lot — Lot 499: Too Darn Hot x Baveno (Street Cry) — $750,000

The standout result of Day 2 and second-highest price of the entire sale. A Too Darn Hot colt out of Baveno (Street Cry) from Gilgai Farm at $750,000.

Sire — Too Darn Hot:

• Stakes Winner / Runner Rate: 7.00%
• A sire proving his worth at the elite level in both hemispheres

Dam Sire — Street Cry:

• Stakes Winner / Runner Rate: 7.01%
• One of the most influential dam sires of his generation globally

The cross of Too Darn Hot over Street Cry-line mares is a pattern with genuine pedigree logic — European speed and class over a dam sire renowned for producing quality across all distances. Gilgai Farm offered a colt that clearly matched that logic in the flesh.

Day 2 Lot 419: Kermadec x Turaath (Oasis Dream) — $625,000

An exceptional result for Kermadec and a Gilgai Farm filly that demonstrates the value of dam sire quality in the G1 Goldmine model.

Dam Sire — Oasis Dream:

• A European sire of elite speed whose daughters have become enormously influential as broodmares globally
• The Kermadec x Oasis Dream-line cross represents a combination of Southern Hemisphere class with European sprint genetics

At $625,000, this was the third-highest price of the sale. The pedigree pattern — a quality Southern Hemisphere sire over a daughter of a top-class European speed influence — is exactly the kind of cross our model consistently flags for elevated output potential.

High-Value Day 1 Lots — What the Stats Said, What the Market Paid

Lot 279: Frankel x Quantum Mechanic (Deep Field) — $375,000

Mill Park Stud | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 93.5

Frankel's numbers remain the strongest of any shuttle sire represented across the sale:

• Sire SW Rate: 17.07% — highest of any sire in the Day 1 featured lots
• Winners / Runners Rate: 67.78%
• Average winning distance: 1,990m — Frankel's progeny tend to develop into quality middle-distance performers

Dosage is heavily speed-oriented despite the sire's middle-distance reputation — Speed 77.42%, Classic 22.58%, zero Stamina — DI of 7.86. A useful divergence worth tracking when she hits the track. Sold at $375,000 against an Opportunity Score of 93.5 — strong value against the analytics.

Lot 33: Frankel x Emro (USA) (Point of Entry) — $360,000

Newgate Farm | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 97.5

The highest Opportunity Score of any sold lot in the entire Day 1 catalogue. Frankel again at 17.07% SW rate; Point of Entry through the dam at 5.45% SW rate. Dosage: extreme speed profile, DI of 11.00. The model's expected winning profile around 1,948m at age 4 creates a tension with the dosage — worth monitoring at the races. Sold at $360,000 — a high-analytics lot acquired at a reasonable price point from a premier vendor.

Opportunity Value — The Stats Said More Than the Price

Lot 14: Shamus Award x Distrustful (Trusting) — $120,000

Maluka Thoroughbreds | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 88.6

The most statistically compelling nick in the entire Day 1 catalogue — at $120,000.

The Nick — Shamus Award x Trusting line:

• Nick SW Rate: 100%
• Nick Winners / Runners Rate: 100%

Every horse produced by this cross that has raced has won, and every stakes-eligible runner has reached that level. Dam Sire Trusting carries a 17.65% SW rate — one of the highest in the sale. Five gold indicators, eight green, zero red. Balanced dosage across Speed/Classic/Stamina — DI of 1.22, expected average winning distance of 1,392m at age 4.

A 100% nick SW rate at $120,000 is the definition of a G1 Goldmine opportunity flag. The market underpriced the analytics here.

Lot 96: Exceed and Excel x Heavenly Curlin (USA) (Curlin) — $180,000

Rosemont Stud | PERFECT MATCH | Opportunity Score: 93.0

A Perfect Match — found 11× more often in stakes winners than in slow horses — sold at $180,000. Exceed and Excel at 7.83% SW rate, Curlin through the dam at 5.49% SW rate. 11 green indicators, one red. Speed-biased with Classic support — DI of 2.69. An unproven cross at nick level, but the Perfect Match designation is generated from deep historical pattern analysis. Opportunity Score of 93.0 from a blue-chip vendor at $180,000 — another lot where the analytics were ahead of the price.

Day 2 Featured Lots — Results vs the Data

Lot 512: Too Darn Hot x Beret (Helmet) — $120,000

Milburn Creek | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 82.9

Pre-sale this was one of our Day 2 statistical standouts — a 50% nick SW rate, 100% Wnrs/Runners rate, Stakes Winner dam. She sold for $120,000. Given the same sire's Day 2 topper (Lot 499) went for $750,000, the Beret filly represented either a market inconsistency or a physical discount. The analytics remain strong regardless of hammer price.

Lot 485: Savabeel x Ark (IRE) (Galileo) — $150,000

Yulong | PERFECT MATCH | Opportunity Score: 92.0

• Nick SW Rate: 27.27% — more than 1 in 4 from this cross at stakes level
• Nick Winners / Runners Rate: 81.82%
• Galileo dam sire SW rate: 8.65%

Sold at $150,000 against a Perfect Match rating and an Opportunity Score of 92.0. Classic-dominant dosage — DI of 2.22, a mile-to-middle-distance profile. One of the better-value lots in Day 2 on the numbers.

Lot 479: Dundeel x Arabian Gold (Dubawi) — $130,000

Fernrigg Farm | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 64.3

• Nick SW Rate: 33.33%
• Nick Winners / Runners Rate: 100%
• Dam Arabian Gold: Stakes Winner, $997,980 in career earnings

Sold at $130,000. The Dundeel x Dubawi-line cross has a 33.33% SW rate and a 100% Wnrs rate — every runner has won. Balanced dosage with genuine stamina — DI of 1.07. A filly with a compelling data profile acquired well under $150,000.

Lot 350: Zoustar x Snitzerland (Snitzel) — $320,000

Vinery Stud | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 88.2

• Nick SW Rate: 18.52% — nearly 3× Zoustar's individual sire rate of 6.33%
• Nick Winners / Runners: 85.19%
• Dam Snitzerland: Stakes Winner, $1,974,500 in career earnings

Sold at $320,000. The Zoustar x Snitzel cross is consistently outperforming the sire's baseline — 18.52% vs 6.33% tells a clear story. Classic-dominant dosage — Speed 37.93%, Classic 62.07%, zero Stamina — a true miler/classic type. The price reflected the dam's quality; the nick statistics added further justification.

Lot 317: Dundeel x Secret Admirer (Dubawi) — Passed In

Milburn Creek | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 77.2

• Nick SW Rate: 33.33% | Nick Winners / Runners: 100%
• Dam a Stakes Winner with $1,443,530 in career earnings
• 4 gold indicators, 9 green, zero red

Passed in. Given the Dundeel x Dubawi nick statistics and the dam's prizemoney, this was arguably the most surprising non-result of Day 2. The analytics profile was strong; the vendor will be hopeful of a private deal.

Cross Trends — What the Full Sale Data Confirmed

Three sire-line crosses consistently produced elevated statistical returns across the three days:

Zoustar x Fastnet Rock line — Nick SW Rate 12.70%, Nick Wnrs Rate 80.95%. Lot 238 validated this cross at $850,000. The Zoustar x Snitzel cross (Lot 350, 18.52% SW rate) reinforced the pattern that Zoustar over-speed-influence mares is a reliably productive combination.

Too Darn Hot crosses — The sire produced two of the sale's top prices on Day 2: Lot 499 ($750,000, Street Cry dam) and Lot 512 ($120,000, Helmet dam, 50% nick SW rate). The gap between those two results is a conversation for physicality — the analytics flagged both.

Dundeel x Dubawi line — Nick SW Rate 33.33%, Nick Wnrs Rate 100%. Two lots from this cross — Lot 317 (passed in) and Lot 479 ($130,000) — both carried compelling data profiles. The one that sold went cheaply. Breeders should note this cross for future reference.

Analysis generated by G1 Goldmine — Stallion Match & Pedigree Analytics Platform | G1 Racesoft Pty Ltd | Inglis Premier Yearling Sale 2026

Partner Purchases — The Stats Behind the Selections

Our training and racing partners were active across all three days, securing a strong book of yearlings. Here's what the G1 Goldmine data says about their standout purchases over $120,000.

Lot 419: Kermadec x Turaath (Oasis Dream) — $625,000

Gilgai Farm | Astute Bloodstock / Ciaron Maher Racing | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 44.5

The standout partner purchase of the entire sale and the third-highest price across all three days. Ciaron Maher Racing went to $625,000 for this Kermadec filly out of a Turaath (Oasis Dream) dam.

• Sire (Kermadec) SW Rate: 3.64% | Dam Sire (Oasis Dream) SW Rate: 5.91%
• Stallion Match: 20/20 MATCH — 2.3× greater likelihood of stakes success
• 4 green indicators, zero red

Oasis Dream, as a dam sire, has been enormously influential globally — his daughters consistently produce quality racehorses across multiple sire lines, and the combination with Kermadec's Southern Hemisphere class is a pedigree pattern with genuine logic. Zero red indicators across the model. Ciaron Maher paid a high price, and the analytics support the conviction.

Lot 484: Extreme Choice x Ariaz (Charge Forward) — $540,000

Milburn Creek | MyRacehorse / Michael Freedman Racing / Belmont Bloodstock | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 61.6

Michael Freedman Racing's headline purchase of the sale, and a colt whose sire statistic is one of the most impressive in the catalogue.

• Sire (Extreme Choice) SW Rate: 12.24% — the highest sire SW rate of any partner purchase
• Dam Sire (Charge Forward) SW Rate: 3.09%
• Stallion Match: 20/20 MATCH | 3 gold indicators, 3 green, zero red

An Extreme Choice SW rate of 12.24% means roughly 1 in 8 of his runners reach stakes level — a remarkable figure for a commercial sire. Three gold indicators in our model reinforce the quality signal. At $540,000 from Milburn Creek, Michael Freedman Racing secured a colt whose analytical and physical profiles both clearly warranted the investment.

Lot 470: Hitotsu x Angel of Mercy (Hussonet) — $480,000

Glenn Lee Thoroughbreds | Ciaron Maher Bloodstock | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 50.0

Ciaron Maher's biggest individual outlay of the sale — $480,000 for a Hitotsu colt out of a Hussonet mare.

• Dam Sire (Hussonet) SW Rate: 4.96%
• Stallion Match: 20/20 MATCH | 7 green indicators, zero red
• Hitotsu is an emerging sire with his first crops still building statistical history — current SW Rate is developing

Seven green indicators with zero red is a clean model profile. The 20/20 Match designation reflects the strength of the historical pedigree pattern. Ciaron Maher's confidence at $480,000 on an emerging sire's representative is a statement of belief in both the physical and the cross.

Lot 329: Ole Kirk x She Shao Fly (Epaulette) — $430,000

Gilgai Farm | Bennett Racing | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 65.0

Bennett Racing's standout purchase — the fourth-highest price of Day 2 and a filly with an interesting nick statistic.

• Sire (Ole Kirk) SW Rate: 5.33% | Dam Sire (Epaulette) SW Rate: 3.13%
• Nick Winners / Runners Rate: 100% — every runner from this cross has won
• Stallion Match: 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 65.0

The Ole Kirk x Epaulette-line cross is an emerging combination, but the directional signal is unambiguous — 100% Wnrs/Runners across all runners produced so far. Bennett Racing paid $430,000 from Gilgai Farm, one of the more progressive consignors in the sale. The analytics backed the price.

Lot 327: Brave Smash x Shalfah (Fastnet Rock) — $220,000

Emirates Park | Matt Laurie Racing / Hong Kong Bloodstock | Opportunity Score: 37.4

Matt Laurie Racing's headline purchase across the sale.

• Dam Sire (Fastnet Rock) SW Rate: 6.03% — one of the most reliable dam sire influences in the Southern Hemisphere
• Nick Winners / Runners Rate: 50% — half of all runners from this cross have won
• 5 green indicators, zero red

Fastnet Rock mares consistently enhance the output of sires across multiple crosses, and Brave Smash brings genuine speed and class from the Japanese sire ranks. At $220,000 from Emirates Park, Matt Laurie acquired a colt with a clean model profile and a Fastnet Rock influence that has proven its worth repeatedly.

Lot 25: Justify x Elate (NZ) (Savabeel) — $170,000

Yarraman Park | Baystone / Malua | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 90.5

The highest Opportunity Score of any partner purchase — and one of the highest across the entire sale — at $170,000.

• Sire (Justify) SW Rate: 8.33% | Winners/Runners: 59.04%
• Dam Sire (Savabeel) SW Rate: 3.84%
• Stallion Match: 20/20 MATCH | 2 gold indicators, 5 green, zero red

Dosage: Speed 20%, Classic 48%, Stamina 32% — DI of 0.79. A genuine stayer's profile — this colt is bred to get ground and improve with time. At $170,000 with an Opportunity Score of 90.5, Malua secured a Justify colt whose analytical profile sits well above his price point. A textbook G1 Goldmine value flag.

Lot 452: Home Affairs x Zero Sum Game (Zoustar) — $150,000

Two Bays Farm | Dream Thoroughbreds / Bluegrass Bloodstock / Matt Laurie Racing | 20/20 MATCH | Opportunity Score: 61.0

A Home Affairs colt out of a Zoustar mare — an interesting speed-on-speed combination from the same vendor who produced the sale's top lot.

• Sire (Home Affairs) SW Rate: 4.55% | Dam Sire (Zoustar) SW Rate: 4.71%
• Stallion Match: 20/20 MATCH | 3 gold indicators, 3 green, zero red

Two Bays Farm has both the sale topper (Lot 238, $850,000) and this Matt Laurie colt at $150,000 underlines the quality of their consignment. Three gold indicators in a 20/20 Match colt at $150,000 is a strong value profile — the kind of lot where the physical and the data aligned at an accessible price.

Analysis generated by G1 Goldmine Pedigree Analytics Platform | G1 Racesoft Pty Ltd | Inglis Premier Yearling Sale 2026