Gold Cells and Great Expectations: G1 Goldmine’s Pedigree Lens on the 2025 Preakness
In a race where fractions matter and margins are tight, pedigree can be the great separator. At G1 Goldmine, we’ve analysed the 2025 G1 Preakness Stakes field using our proprietary Impact Profile — a visual representation of how crosses between the sire-line and dam-line ancestors have historically performed at the stakes level.
The result? An evidence-based look at which runners are backed by bloodlines that consistently outperform expectations. Here’s the runner-by-runner breakdown based on the number and quality of Gold and Green cells.
🟥🟨🟨🟩🟩 GOAL ORIENTED
- Profile Highlights:$1
- 2 Gold cells: Saint Ballado x Not This Time (11.5), Saint Ballado x Trippi (4.7)
- 2 Green cells: Saint Ballado x Giant’s Causeway (1.3), Khazeen x Giant’s Causeway (1.1)
- 1 Red cell: Storm Cat x Khazeen (-0.2)
- Comment: The highest-impact cross is Saint Ballado x Not This Time (11.5), showing clear overperformance. However, the cross Storm Cat x Khazeen (-0.2) has historically underperformed, marking a cautionary red flag. $2---
- Odds: 6-1
🟨🟨🟨🟨🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 JOURNALISM
- Profile Highlights:
- 4 Gold cells: Curlin x Uncle Mo (13.3), Curlin x Bernardini (12.1), War Exchange x Uncle Mo (13.3), War Exchange x Bernardini (12)
- 6 Green cells across Indian Charlie and Bernardini
- Comment: The highest-rated cross is Curlin x Uncle Mo (13.3), a powerful combination that consistently exceeds expectations. $1
- Odds: 8-5 (Favourite)
🟩🟩🟩 AMERICAN PROMISE
- Profile Highlights:
- 3 Green cells: Tapit x Scat Daddy (3.9), Tapit x Johannesburg (2.6), Pulpit x Johannesburg (2.2)
- Comment: Subtler than others, but the profile shows good synergy in the Scat Daddy line. Not explosive, but dependable.
- Odds: 15-1
🟩 HEART OF HONOR
- Profile Highlights:
- 1 Green cell: First Samurai x A.P. Indy (3.7)
- Comment: A conservative profile overall. Doesn’t light up the board but features one decent cross. Competitive, but lower ceiling.
- Odds: 12-1
🟩🟩🟩 PAY BILLY
- Profile Highlights:
- 3 Green cells: Unbridled x Turkish Tryst (2.7), Unbridled x A.P. Indy (1.1), Orientate x A.P. Indy (1.2)
- Comment: Surprisingly steady Impact Profile. All gains are modest, but this is a sleeper for trifecta and first-four bettors.
- Odds: 20-1
🟥🟩 RIVER THAMES
- Profile Highlights:
- 1 Green cell: Forestry x Distorted Humor (1.5)
- 1 Red cell: Touch Gold x Forty Niner (-0.4)
- Comment: Best performing cross is Forestry x Distorted Humor (1.5). But pedigree caution comes from the red-rated Touch Gold x Forty Niner (-0.4) cross, which underperforms at stakes level. $1
- Odds: 9-2
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 SANDMAN
- Profile Highlights:
- 9 Green cells (!): Consistent performance from all sire/dam ancestor crosses including Tapit, Pulpit, Distorted Humor, Forty Niner, A.P. Indy, Moon Glitter.
- Comment: One of the most consistent profiles in the race. No Gold, but almost every cross outperforms. Reliable and versatile.
- Odds: 4-1
🟨🟨🟨🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 CLEVER AGAIN
- Profile Highlights:
- 3 Gold cells: Galileo x American Pharoah (13.3), Galileo x Yankee Gentleman (11.5), Galileo x Zetta Jet (13.3)
- 5 Green cells including Sadler’s Wells across multiple dam lines
- Comment: The most impactful cross is Galileo x American Pharoah (13.3). $1
- Odds: 5-1
🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨🟩🟩🟩 GOSGER
- Profile Highlights:
- 7 Gold cells: Tapit x Nyquist (17.8), Tapit x Fulbright Scholar (17.8), Tapit x Uncle Mo (8.3), and more
- 3 Green cells: Arch x Uncle Mo (3.6), Arch x Indian Charlie (2.6), Pulpit x Forestry (3.2)
- Comment: The standout cross here is Tapit x Nyquist (17.8) — a stellar score rarely seen. $1
- Odds: 20-1
G1 Goldmine Verdict:
- Best Profiles: 🥇 Gosger, 🥈 Journalism, 🥉 Clever Again
- Most Reliable: Sandman
- Best Value Sleeper: Gosger
Want to see how your mare’s pedigree stacks up? Run your own Impact Profile search today at G1Goldmine.com and discover where the Gold (and Green) cells live.
Data doesn’t just inform decisions. It changes them.